Saturday, March 25, 2006

Iran's nuclear crisis-to-be

"Nuclear" has no doubt been a ubiquitous word recently in the papers perhaps because of the hype about it as an energy source and more alarmingly as a weapon of mass destruction. Iran is just one of the two countries officially challenging the US with the technology.

Iran has a reasonable - but I implore, not moral - case for resorting to such a desperate measure because of the intense pressure it faces from the Middle East countries and perhaps the more significant ones: US and Israel. The gaining of such a tool would certainly give Iran a much greater position in terms of negotiating the pressures off. From disasters such as Chernobyl and Hiroshima bombings, the world has learnt nuclear reaction is not at all child's play. It is an extremely potent instrument to exterminate mankind together with the planet.

Little light had been shed on the actual status quo of Iran's situation. No one has been able to prove to Iran as a country is working directly towards destructive nuclear developments. International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) has been closely monitoring all of Iran's nuclear sites after many allegations from the US. However, US insist that there is a very high chance of Iran violating the Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT). Why so? The latter had much links with the Taliban and Al Qaeda and should such technology be available to the terrorists, we can only expect massive devastation.

No doubt Iran will trump the US and other superpowers of great threat, using such a measure would not carry far. When the whole world is under the threat of such menace, they would unite to solve the problem. Iran will find itself invaded or destroyed first. The method of destruction is a double-edged blade.

As dangerous as it seems, Iran's reluctance to sign the NPT seemed to highlight its defiance and non-compliance with the rest of the world. Scrutiny would continue until they make a point to clarify their stand on the purpose of uranium enrichment. Just as it is happening to North Korea, on the verge of many tensions, Iran could face the same kind consequence if it doesn’t re-aligns itself.

However, I would say, it is not the mode of weapons developed; it is the very nature of the country that determines how the world will react. There are other countries who did not sign NPT: China and India. Did US (or other parts of the world) make a big fuss? Are there no risks at all? Nope it's just no one wants to burn their bridges before crossing.


A relevant excerpt:

"IRAN is moving faster than expected towards enriching uranium and could manufacture enough of it to build a bomb within three years.

The new information about Iran's programme comes from diplomats representing countries on the UN Security Council, who were briefed by senior staff of the International Atomic Energy Agency.

If engineers encounter no major technical problems, Iran could manufacture enough highly enriched uranium to build a bomb within three years, much more quickly than the common estimate of five to 10 years, the diplomats said.

...

Policymakers watching Iran's programme are making two separate assessments: a technical one based on Iran's ability to make enriched uranium and a political judgment on whether Iran is attempting to make a bomb or merely trying to enrich uranium to a low level for civilian purposes."

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